The Alphabet Recovery?

Almost immediately after the Covid-19 induced March collapse in stock markets and the economy, the usual pundits began to speculate on the timing and shape of a possible recovery.  The most optimistic were talking about a V shaped rebound with a rapid and broad recovery to pre Covid-19 levels.  A more cautious group were contemplating … Continued

Economic Bifurcation

The U.S. economy appears to be bifurcating at an unprecedented rate.  Unemployment, particularly in the service, retail, live entertainment, hospitality and other sectors is epidemic, while many professionals, able to work at home, are maintaining their income, enjoying a lower cost of living, and for some, significant gains in their corporate stock plans. Pandemic driven … Continued

The Rule of 72

Investopedia defines the rule of 72 as a quick, useful formula that is popularly used to estimate the number of years required to double the invested money at a given annual rate of return.  Of course, there are calculators and spreadsheet programs that can accurately calculate the precise time required to double invested money to … Continued

Understanding Vehicle Automation

In the final analysis, the definitive question in assessing autonomous vehicle operation is, are you the driver or are you a passenger? Clearly, there has been a significant increase in the availability of automated driving technology and the industry continues to develop and market new and enhanced systems.  In order to provide a common vocabulary … Continued

Day Trading

Day trading is not investing!  Wikipedia defines day trading as “speculation in securities, specifically buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day, such that all positions are closed before the market closes for the trading day.  Traders who trade in this capacity with the motive of profit are therefore speculators.” Investors construct portfolios, … Continued

You Are Never Hit By The Bus You See

With the stock market bouncing off all-time highs again, I’ve seen a large number of market forecasters making predictions about the future path of the U.S. economy and financial markets. If you enjoy hearing the predictions of the financial media talking heads, I implore you to take a look at CXO Advisory Group’s “Guru Grades” … Continued

Politics and Investing

Recently, I had four client meetings on the same day.  While four client meetings on the same day isn’t unusual, what was unusual was the main topic of all of the meetings.  The first two clients were incredibly anxious about Joe Biden winning the Presidency and their stock portfolio crashing.  The third and fourth meetings, … Continued

Election Confusion?

It hardly requires a stretch of the imagination to consider the possibility that the 2020 presidential election will be accompanied by a degree of confusion.  We are already witnessing the difficulties in quickly determining results for recent primary elections.  Problems include; safely conducting in-person voting, recruiting polling location staff, timely delivery of absentee ballots, agreement … Continued

I Don’t Know

Investment decisions are largely based on expectations.  Estimating future value is very difficult and inherently uncertain, which no amount of education and experience can fully overcome.  Future values are sometimes based on anticipated innovations, historical performance, broader industry trends and many other factors.  Even with careful analysis, not all investment opportunities lend themselves to high … Continued

Abuse of the Paycheck Protection Program

One of the components of the CARES Act is the Paycheck Protection Program.  This program offers a loan to small businesses that are struggling to stay afloat.  The goal is to keep employees on the payroll and provide assistance for other operating expenses such as rent, mortgage interest and utility payments.  If a struggling business … Continued

Margin Calls

According to Investopedia, a margin call arises when an investor borrows money from a broker to make investments.  When an investor uses margin to buy or sell securities, he pays for them using a combination of his own funds and borrowed money from a broker.  A margin call is triggered when the investor’s equity, as a … Continued

Short Squeeze

A short squeeze occurs when a rapid rise in the price of a stock, precipitated by a lack of supply and an excess of demand, pressures short sellers to cover their positions on a stock, resulting in buying volume that drives the stock price up, further pressuring the remaining shorts.  Factors precipitating pressure on short … Continued