A Really Bad Idea 

There are many bad ideas, but today’s blog looks at proposals by several States to consider the really bad idea of capping premium increases for personal lines of insurance. There seems to be a substantial consensus that there is a crisis when it comes to the cost of home and auto insurance, but a dearth … Continued

Sigma Signals

Week of November 10, 2025 The Gaza peace plan remains intact despite ongoing tensions that threaten its stability. Meanwhile, prominent Iranian cleric and former official Ali Akbar Nateq-Nouri acknowledged in an interview with Eco Iran that the 1979 U.S. Embassy seizure was “a major mistake,” noting that many of Iran’s troubles began there. His remarks … Continued

No, It’s Not Existential

On May 27, 2014, Sigma posted a blog, “Climate Change:  The Useful Debate.” We suggested that “the useful debate should be, is it better to try to slow the pace of climate change or prepare to live with the “inevitable”?” Now we have Bill Gates, a Microsoft billionaire, who is saying that the “doomsday view” … Continued

Sigma Signals

Week of November 3, 2025 Our U.S. Interest Rate Signal has shifted from yellow to green. Following the recent 25-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate announced by Fed Chair Powell, the yield curve is positively sloped and U.S. Treasury yields have declined across all maturities compared with a year ago. These developments indicate that … Continued

It Takes a Village to Raise a Child

This proverb is widely believed to have originated in Africa several centuries ago.  It reflects the emphasis African cultures place on family and community.  While some vestiges of this concept remain, in today’s America, child care is a major problem.  Yes, sometimes grandparents are able and willing to step up, but generally, parents have to … Continued

Sigma Signals

Week of October 27, 2025 It may seem perplexing to market observers that, in a week when the U.S. government entered its fourth consecutive week of shutdown, President Trump tightened sanctions on Russian businesses, and the Israel–Hamas ceasefire remained fragile, the U.S. stock market reached all-time highs. Yet the collective intelligence of capital markets should … Continued

Sigma Signals

Week of October 20, 2025 Last week, General Motors (GM) announced a $1.6 billion charge related to its underperforming electric vehicle (EV) line, citing reduced government subsidies as a key factor. As noted in theWall Street Journalarticle “The Rest of the World is Following America’s Retreat on EVs,” other countries are also scaling back their … Continued

Saber-Rattling Seems to Never End

Merriam-Webster defines saber-rattling as overtly and often exaggeratedly threatening actions or statements, such as verbal threats or ostentatious displays of military power, that are meant to intimidate an enemy by suggesting the possible use of force. There are many examples.  Perhaps the most alarming is Russia’s threat to introduce nuclear weapons into the Ukraine conflict.  … Continued

Sigma Signals

Week of October 13, 2025 A week ago, we suggested that the equity markets were showing signs of frothiness.  On Friday, the major averages dropped about 3%. The catalyst was renewed fears of a trade war when China announced export controls on rare earth minerals and Trump threatened retaliation. We take these developments as negotiating … Continued

UBI, Here We Go Again

Over the last decade we have posted numerous blogs relating to the continuing interest in some kind of universal basic income (UBI).  During the last several years, a number of experiments have sought to assess the benefits, if any, of a carefully constructed and monitored program based on some form of UBI.  To date, none … Continued

Sigma Signals

Week of October 6, 2025 While lunching this past week at my favorite Livonia, Michigan restaurant, the owner approached me.  He pulled out his iPhone, went to the brokerage app and flashed the phone at me.  “You have to buy this. Galaxy Digital.  It’s going to $100!” Speculation is rampant and this bull market may … Continued

America’s Consumption Economy

It is generally accepted that consumers account for approximately 70% of national GDP.  With that in mind, it is important to consider the state of consumer debt.  While it is difficult to access precise data, it appears that Americans have been maxing out their credit cards after years of inflation.  One indicator is the rapid … Continued