Tax Revenue Projections

As our elected officials keep rolling out trillion dollar spending plans, allegedly to be financed by proposed increases in taxes on corporations and the wealthiest individuals, one might wonder, what happens if revenues fall short? None of the details relating to planned spending and tax increases have been released, and it will probably be several … Continued

Disincentives

Much has been said about an apparent mismatch between unemployment data and the forest of help wanted signs around every corner.  While there are a number of possible explanations, many have suggested that overly generous, no questions asked, unemployment benefits may be, at least, part of the problem. While most of the stimulus disbursements have … Continued

Fear

Anxiety is a normal human emotion, until it goes to extremes and leads to the potential of irrational behavior. “The only thing we have to fear is fear itself”.  This was President Roosevelt’s (FDR) response to the public’s fears during the Great Depression and reflected FDR’s conviction that the U.S. would emerge as a stronger, … Continued

Supply, Demand and the Great TP “Crisis”

Supply and demand theory postulates that the relationship between supply and demand determines pricing and capacity adjustments.  This is true, but more likely to develop over the long term.  Supply/demand imbalances can have many causes and it is incumbent on investors to understand the underlying factors. For example, the early 2020 apparent lack of TP … Continued

Real Signs of Inflation?

A theme seems to be emerging as we monitor the release of information made by public companies’ earnings reports and shared forward looking guidance – the decision to increase prices on their products and services. A company’s decision to increase prices can be made based on current or anticipated increased costs of production. The time … Continued

Employees are a Valuable Asset

That should be obvious.  While current unemployment data is confusing at best, and may be obscuring the probability that the U.S. is looking at a longer term labor shortage, employers should be recognizing the long-term importance of being an employer of choice. Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon, one of the country’s largest private employers, … Continued

Voluntary Taxes

With the current atmosphere in Washington, it might be a good time to recognize that some federal, state and local taxes are partially or substantially voluntary, and/or deferrable depending on personal choices. For example, capital gains tax liabilities are currently triggered by the sale of an asset at a profit.  Any liability can be entirely or … Continued

How Many Raisins in a Box of Raisin Bran?

That depends on how you define raisin. There has been a significant increase in the number of exchange traded funds (ETFs) offering a focused emphasis on current fashionable investment themes.  While a diverse portfolio may offer the best long term results, many investors, at least with part of their portfolios, are seeking opportunities to concentrate … Continued

Who Pays Corporate Taxes?

With the increasing probability that the federal corporate income tax rate is going up, we are seeing the usual, politically based projections, as to who will pay the higher rates.  Some are saying that it will be investors and others are saying that it will be labor. It may well be everyone.  All taxes charged … Continued

Know-nothing Investing

Over the last several quarters we have seen an increase in market activity by individuals who seem to take pride in how much they don’t know about the stocks they are trading.  This is not investing.  Perhaps it is trading, wagering or just plain “rolling the dice.” Over the short run, this may not be … Continued

International Travel and Covid-19

With the development and gradual deployment of effective vaccines, travelers, the hospitality industry and investors are thinking about what should be required before a restart for widespread international travel.  Any attempt to look forward must, at least for now, recognize that border crossing requirements vary widely for most countries.  Travelers should also realize that it … Continued

Kanban

Kanban, also known as just-in-time manufacturing, is a methodology aimed primarily at reducing times within the production system, as well as response times from suppliers and to customers.  The origin and development of this system is generally attributed to Japan, largely in the 1960s and 1970s, and to Toyota in particular.  More recently, the concepts … Continued