Investopedia defines diversification as a risk management strategy that creates a mix of various investments within a portfolio. A diversified portfolio contains distinct asset types and investment vehicles in an attempt to limit exposure to any single asset or risk. This definition is well-known and adopted by most investor advisors. Information is key to making decisions and … Continued

Week of February 2, 2026 In our December 8, 2025 Sigma Signals, we noted the sharp rise in silver prices and suggested that a collapse was likely, comparing the setup to the “recent crash-like behavior in certain cryptocurrencies.” Silver prices plunged 30% from recent highs last Friday, underscoring the risk of speculation and the difficulty … Continued

This is the lead line in the 1989 sports fantasy drama film, “Field of Dreams”. The premise of the film is that if the farmer who owns the land builds a baseball field in his cornfield, the ghosts of baseball legends will come and play. Now we have the White House demanding that manufacturers step … Continued

Week of January 26, 2026 U.S. GDP growth in the second half of 2025 was significantly stronger than anticipated. For much of the year, policy uncertainty dominated the narrative, leading many economists to expect economic weakness. As ever, forecasting is imperfect, and short-term noise can obscure longer-term trends. Our Signals remain unchanged. Bob Bilkie, CFA

Week of January 19, 2026 President Trump continues to weigh how far the United States is willing to go to intervene in Iran. The Ayatollah’s partial retreat from the use of force against protestors has, for now, helped preserve the regime. As Niall Ferguson notes in The Free Press, meaningful regime change would likely require … Continued

Institutional DeFi platform Sentora recently published a new report, arguing that the corporate adoption of bitcoin as a treasury asset, while popular, resembles “balance sheet roulette.”  The report goes on to suggest that bitcoin’s scarcity and programmability make it an unprecedented corporate asset. But, without scalable yield and durable financing, this is a dangerous game. The … Continued

Week of January 12, 2026 Deniable plausibility or “shock and awe”? That is the dilemma facing the Trump administration as it weighs how to support the Iranian people amid ongoing protests against their government. Iran has warned that U.S. intervention would prompt retaliation, including disrupting shipping lanes in the Persian Gulf and targeting American bases … Continued

This is an old adage that remains relevant but is becoming increasingly difficult for individuals to implement.  Investment opportunities are becoming more complex and may involve fewer familiar products and services.  Investors still have several attractive options, including seeking help from their advisor(s) and considering more diversification. Here at Sigma, we have a team of … Continued

Week of January 5, 2026 Recent U.S. military action targeting Venezuelan narco-terrorists may carry meaningful positive long-term implications. Our assessment of global risk has consistently centered on China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea as the primary sources of geopolitical instability. In the near term, further escalation by these regimes appears less likely following this demonstration … Continued

Week of December 29, 2025 When two premier U.S. news outlets present the same fact with radically different prominence, investors are not merely informed—they are steered. Last week, The Wall Street Journal led its mobile edition with strong third-quarter U.S. GDP growth, while The New York Times relegated the same story far down its feed. … Continued

Week of December 22, 2025 A recent Wall Street Journal article titled What Christmas Tree Sales Tell Us About Holiday Spending suggests that there is a positive correlation between Christmas tree sales and overall consumer spending.  “This year, [Christmas tree sales] aren’t very good, running just 3% above last year’s levels… Last year, sales rose 7%.” … Continued

Week of December 15, 2025 In a widely anticipated move, the Federal Reserve last week lowered short-term interest rates. Broadly speaking, major equity indexes were little changed, though market leadership rotated out of leading technology shares and into prior under performers. Our Signals remained unchanged. Bob Bilkie, CFA