Transparency

The administration has proposed a $10 per barrel tax on oil producers to fund a sweeping set of green transportation initiatives.  The tax would be phased in over a period of five years and is being billed as part of the fight against climate change. Investors should note that this is, in effect, a $0.25 … Continued

California Water Update

California’s drought conditions continue to reflect the effectiveness of conservation measures and increased precipitation.  The state’s second snow survey indicated that the snow pack was at 130% of average at the measurement point in the Sierra Nevada.  Reservoir levels are up, but still well below desired levels.  El Niño-fueled storms have delivered January rainfall at … Continued

Know and Believe Are Not Synonyms

In making investment decisions it is important to understand the difference between that which we know and what we believe.  They are not synonyms. According to Dictionary.com, know is defined as, “to perceive or understand as fact or truth; to apprehend clearly and withcertainty.”  Believe is defined as, “to have confidence in the truth, the … Continued

A Prophet of Profit?

In the morning banter amongst hosts on the television business channel CNBC recently, a comment was made about the veracity and accuracy with which some high profile investors prognostications are assigned when speaking through the media.  Most investors are aware of the overwhelming success of these legendary investors such as Warren Buffet or Peter Lynch … Continued

Unknown Unknowns

The following phrase is taken from then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld’s response to a question during a news briefing on February 12, 2002. “Reports that say something hasn’t happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know.  We also know that there … Continued

Water, Water Everywhere…But Not A Drop To Drink

This excerpt from S. T. Coleridge’s “Rhyme of the Ancient Mariner”, while generally an apt description of coastal areas like California, doesn’t have to be true. California’s water shortages have made the national news with increasingly severe restrictions on water usage.  The State’s problems stem from increasing population, natural fluctuations in precipitation and other factors. … Continued

Big $ and the Auto Industry

Investors would be well served by carefully considering dollar announcements relating to auto industry results and activities in the context of the industry’s size. For example, GM and Lyft recently announced an alliance and a $500 million investment by GM.  Lyft management has stated that the partnership reflects a common view on a number of … Continued

Do You Think You’re Middle Class?

The political class seems to think that a household income of $250,000 per year is middle class.  What do you think? Even a rudimentary familiarity with the realities of incomes in the U.S. would recognize that household earnings in that area are near the top of the range.  The most recent Census Bureau data showed … Continued

No Fear

I thought one of my favorite quotes would be very timely today by Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., “Darkness cannot drive out darkness; only light can do that.  Hate cannot drive out hate; only love can do that.” Whether discussing political issues, personal challenges, or economic and market forces this quote provides great perspective. Fear … Continued

Stock Market Circuit Breaker

As a Chinese native and resident for most of my life, I have been watching the equity markets there with great interest these past several days.  I am hopeful that my friends and family there are conducting their affairs with a clear mind. The Chinese stock market circuit breaker rule was implemented on January 4th … Continued

Accounting Matters

Anyone that has actually waded through all of the footnotes that accompany public company financial statements should be aware that the accounting treatment for certain portions are complex and not as uniform as one might have thought.  In assessing an investment opportunity it is important to understand the ramifications of the applicable accounting standards and … Continued

Climate and the Great Lakes

Recent reports from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Army Corps of Engineers (the Corps) suggest that water levels in the Great Lakes are likely to stay at or above the long-term average over the next six months.  With the exception of Lake Ontario, lake levels are currently above the seasonal long-term … Continued