The Wall Street Journal issue of June 28, 2014 carried an article titled, “Huge Returns at Low Risk? Not So Fast.” The premise focused on what is known as “back testing”, whereby an investment analyst runs a series of computer simulations to identify an optimal portfolio of stocks that would have produced the best returns … Continued
A recent article in The Wall Street Journal suggested that corporate pension funds and university endowments have missed out on much of the rally for stocks since 2009, instead following a push to diversify into other investments. Candidly, these other investments have had disappointing performances. While there is a case to be made for greater … Continued
In the musical “Annie”, (1977), the star sings: “Tomorrow, tomorrow, I love ya tomorrow, you’re only a day away”. In the depths of a recession, as portrayed in the musical, a sunny outlook is clearly heartwarming, and suggests that things will get better soon. In the cold world of investing, tomorrow is always a day … Continued
There is something about food that creates a love close to everyone’s heart. It is not just the food alone, but the preparation of the food that makes it so special. At its most elemental level, the art of cooking is about chemistry. The chef develops the art form in which ordinary ingredients are combined … Continued
Phil LeBeau, from CNBC, recently published an article highlighting trends in car buying. One of the statistics mentioned in the article stood out to us. That is, nearly 25% of new auto loans have payment terms between six and seven years. Currently, auto loan terms have been extended to record highs due to increased vehicle … Continued
Discussing financial, health care and estate planning concerns with an aging parent or relative can be uncomfortable. However, failing to plan for future responsibilities may make a difficult situation even more challenging. Minimize last minute scrambling and avoid future family tensions and financial strain by planning now so the recipients of future care needs can … Continued
As a follow-up to our blog titled “Market Peaks”, we cannot emphasize enough the implicit assumption that stocks can provide very attractive returns over the long term but to achieve those returns, investors must be committed to owning stocks, and have the stomach to hold on to their positions during periods of market weakness. Through … Continued
The markets, as measured by the popular averages, are currently trading at, or near, record highs. Now what? Perhaps the markets will continue to gradually move up, not every day, but on most days, leading to new highs. Alternatively, we may see a modest correction, possibly on the order of 10%, followed by a resumption … Continued
Admittedly, the bond market is far less exciting than the stock market. Yet, we believe it is imperative for investors to understand basic fundamentals of fixed income investing and align their portfolios not only according to the current yield curve but given an expectation of where future rates may be headed. For perspective, the 10-year … Continued
I was having breakfast with a companion this past Saturday, when he asked me, “Would you invest right now if you had cash?” I chuckled and directed him to the blog my colleague wrote earlier in the week covering just that subject (https://sigmainvestments.com/invest-now-or-wait-for-a-correction/) with an answer in the affirmative. He then asked, “Where do you … Continued
The hardest time to make an investment decision is now. Currently, the issue confronting prospective investors is the extent of the market recovery since the 2008-09 lows and whether it would be smarter to wait for a correction. If the market does weaken, the new big question becomes, “how extensive will the correction be and … Continued
A great deal of the debate over the perceived limitations of the world’s natural resources appears to reflect a lack of understanding of the difference between shortage and scarce. A shortage is generally defined as not enough of something that is needed and scarce is defined as a small amount, not plentiful. Consider, Super Bowl … Continued
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