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U.S. Small Business Earnings At Record Levels

According to the results of a recent survey from the National Federation of Independent Businesses (NFIB), a lobbying organization that represents small business owners nationwide, small business earnings are at record levels and optimism is also at very high levels. NFIB’s chief economist attributes improving consumer spending, the new tax law and lower regulatory barriers […]

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Killing the Golden Goose?

Seattle is proposing to levy a tax on local employers that make $20 million or more in taxable gross receipts.  Amazon has announced that it is pausing further construction planning of a building to be built in downtown Seattle and is reconsidering plans to occupy a building that is already built, potentially jeopardizing 7,000 new […]

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Labor-Force Participation, Revisited

We have previously discussed the importance of labor-force participation (see blog from 09 Jan 2018).  The recently reported February jobs report was probably about as good as it gets. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 313,000, the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, wages grew by a too modest 0.1% and, most important, the labor-force participation rate […]

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Uncertainty

Uncertainty describes a situation without a straight forward description involving ambiguous and/or unknown information. Markets don’t like uncertainty. Markets tend to over react in the near term, as traders attempt to get ahead of any suggestion of a possible change in sentiment. Recently, markets reacted sharply to an announcement relating to the possibility of new […]

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A Win for Investors

Several months ago Facebook announced a plan to create a new, third class of nonvoting shares, designed to further strengthen Mark Zuckerberg’s voting control.  According to the latest proxy information, he already holds approximately 60% of the voting power in a two class stock structure. A trial for a class action law suit, seeking to […]

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Dow One Million?

Warren Buffett, speaking at an event to mark the 100th anniversary of Forbes magazine, suggested that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) would be “over 1 million” in 100 years. One million may look like a big number, and it is, but it only assumes a compound average annual return of approximately 4%.  Considering that […]

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