Sigma Signals

Week of June 22, 2026

Our Monetary Policy Signal remains green. Inflation has proven more persistent than expected, reducing the need for additional Federal Reserve stimulus. New Fed Chair Warsh, a committed monetarist, reinforced this outlook during his first meeting, signaling that policy decisions will be driven by economic data rather than market or political pressures. A Fed commitment to preserving the purchasing power of the dollar and maintaining long-term price stability remains a constructive backdrop for economic growth and capital markets. 

Bob Bilkie, CFA