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It’s The Economy, Stupid

No, this is not about politics, although the original phrase was coined by James Carville in 1992 in connection with President Clinton’s successful 1992 presidential campaign.  According to Wikipedia, the original phrase was, “The economy, stupid”, but is often mistakenly rendered as, “It’s the economy, stupid.” Obviously, the state of the economy and the outlook […]

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One Man, One Vote, One Time

The concept of one man, one vote is a slogan used by advocates of political equality through various electoral reforms.  This concept has wide acceptance in developed and many developing countries. The addition of “one time” to the slogan stems from situations where elections were held successfully with a minimum of corruption and violence, but […]

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Has Retailing Become A Zero Sum Game?

Looking at recent earnings reports from the country’s major retailers, it is apparent that some have been very successful, handily beating expectations, while several have reported disappointing results and provided reduced guidance, with surprisingly few in between.  Has retailing devolved into success based on grabbing market share?  To some extent, this may be the case.  […]

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Reversion to the Mean – A Reminder

Reversion to the mean is not a new concept and we most recently discussed the principle in a blog, Reversion to the Mean, posted on 11/1/2017.  With the popular averages up some 30% in 2019 it might seem logical to expect a sharp reduction in the near future.  This may occur, but it is important […]

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“Fix the Damn Roads”

This was a major talking point in Gretchen Whitmer’s successful campaign for Governor of Michigan.  The problem of a deteriorating infrastructure is not limited to roads or to Michigan.  Infrastructure has been a recurring theme in state and national politics for years, and phrases like “shovel ready” raised hopes that the political class would finally […]

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The Difficulty in Market Timing

We live in uncertain times.  Domestically, we are confronted with a divided Congress, impeachment of our President, an annual deficit that is now greater than $1 trillion and a national debt that has topped $23 trillion.  Overseas, we are engaged in a trade war with China, we are under a constant nuclear threat with Russia, […]

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